PMI-RMP Exam Dumps - PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Exam

According to the PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Section 11.4.3.1, Risk Thresholds, risk thresholds are the level of risk exposure above which risks are addressed and below which risks may be accepted. Risk thresholds are determined by the organization’s risk appetite, which is the degree of uncertainty that an organization is willing to accept in pursuit of its goals. Therefore, when the project manager is informed by the risk owner that the exposure from two high-impact risks are hitting the risk thresholds, the project manager should complete an assessment and confirm the response with the sponsors, who are the key stakeholders for the project and have a low risk appetite. The project manager should not update the project management plan, perform an assumptions and constraints analysis, or implement mitigation measures without first consulting with the sponsors and obtaining their approval. References: PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Section 11.4.3.1, Risk Thresholds

Since the probability and impact the risk are both low, it is appropriate to put the risk on the watch list. This allows the risk manager to monitor the risk without expending significant resources on it.

 A watch list is a list of low-priority risks that are not actively managed, but are monitored for changes. A watch list can help the risk manager to keep track of the risks that have low probability and low impact, and to reassess them periodically. Putting the risk on the watch list is the most appropriate action for the risk manager, as it allows him or her to document the risk and review it later. Seeking guidance from SMEs, ignoring the risk, or informing the stakeholders are not necessary actions for a low-priority risk, as they would consume time and resources that could be better spent on more critical risks. References: PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Examination Content Outline and Specifications1, page 10; A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 406.

Since the project manager cannot avoid, transfer, or mitigate the risk, the only remaining option is to accept the risk and develop a contingency plan to handle it if it occurs.

According to the PMI-RMP Exam Content Outline1, one of the tools and techniques for risk response planning is risk response strategies. These are the actions that the project manager and the project team take to address the identified risks, either positive or negative. For negative risks or threats, the PMI-RMP Exam Content Outline1 lists four possible strategies: avoid, transfer, mitigate, and accept.

• Avoid risk means changing the project plan to eliminate the threat or its impact2. For example, changing the scope, schedule, or budget to avoid a risk.
• Transfer risk means shifting the impact of a threat to a third party, such as a contractor, vendor, or insurer2. For example, buying insurance, outsourcing, or using performance bonds to transfer a risk.
• Mitigate risk means reducing the probability and/or impact of a threat2. For example, conducting more tests, adopting best practices, or providing training to mitigate a risk.
• Accept risk means acknowledging the existence of a threat and being willing to deal with its consequences2. For example, doing nothing, establishing a contingency reserve, or developing a contingency plan to accept a risk.

In this question, the project manager has determined that they cannot outsource work (transfer) nor eliminate the scope (avoid). They also discover that they cannot buy insurance (transfer) or mitigate the risk. Therefore, the only remaining option is to accept the risk. Accepting the risk does not mean ignoring the risk, but rather recognizing it and preparing for its potential occurrence and impact. Therefore, the best answer is D.

References: 1: PMI-RMP Exam Content Outline, page 9. 2: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 443.

According to the PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Reference Materials, the project management plan is the document that describes how the project will be executed, monitored, and controlled. It integrates and consolidates all the subsidiary plans and baselines from the project management processes1. The project management plan should be updated whenever there are changes in the project scope, schedule, cost, quality, resources, communications, risks, procurements, or stakeholder engagement2. In this case, the project team has decided to log the opportunities in the current project’s risk register, which is a component of the project management plan. Opportunities are positive risks that may have a beneficial effect on the project objectives, such as cost savings, schedule acceleration, or quality improvement3. Therefore, the project team should update the project management plan to ensure the results of the opportunities are captured and reflected in the relevant subsidiary plans and baselines. For example, if an opportunity leads to a cost saving, the project team should update the cost management plan and the cost baseline accordingly.

References: 1: PMI, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide), Sixth Edition, 2017, p. 89 2: PMI, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide), Sixth Edition, 2017, p. 123 3: PMI, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide), Sixth Edition, 2017, p. 397

The action that the risk manager should propose is to ask the team to prepare a Monte Carlo analysis. This is a statistical technique that can be used to model the probability of different outcomes in a project. By performing a Monte Carlo analysis, the project manager can objectively evaluate key project risks and develop response plans based on this analysis.

 A Monte Carlo analysis is a simulation technique that uses probability distributions and random sampling to model the possible outcomes of a project risk event. It can help the project manager to evaluate the key project risks and develop response plans based on the expected value, standard deviation, and confidence intervals of the results. A Monte Carlo analysis can also provide information on the probability of achieving the project objectives, such as cost, schedule, and quality. A Monte Carlo analysis is an objective method because it does not rely on subjective judgments or opinions, but on mathematical calculations and statistical data. References: PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Section 11.5.2.3, Monte Carlo Analysis1

 A decision tree analysis is a tool that helps to evaluate and select the best option among different alternatives based on costs and probabilities. A decision tree analysis uses a graphical representation of a decision problem, where each node represents a decision point, a chance event, or an outcome. The branches of the tree show the possible choices, events, or consequences that can occur at each node. The end nodes of the tree show the expected value or payoff of each option, which is calculated by multiplying the probability and the cost or benefit of each outcome. A decision tree analysis can help to compare the expected values of different options and choose the one that maximizes the benefit or minimizes the cost1. A decision tree analysis can also help to incorporate uncertainty and risk into the decision making process, as it shows the range of possible outcomes and their likelihoods2. Therefore, the project manager should perform a decision tree analysis to evaluate and select the best option based on costs and probabilities for a mega facility development project. Performing a FMECA fault tree analysis, conducting a sensitivity analysis, or conducting an analytic hierarchy process are not the best options to evaluate and select the best option based on costs and probabilities. A FMECA fault tree analysis is a tool that helps to identify and analyze the potential causes and effects of failures in a system or process. It uses a graphical representation of a failure event, where each node represents a basic or intermediate event that contributes to the failure. The branches of the tree show the logical relationships between the events, using AND or OR gates. A FMECA fault tree analysis can help to calculate the probability and severity of failures, as well as to prioritize and mitigate the risks3. However, a FMECA fault tree analysis does not help to compare different options or alternatives, as it focuses on a single failure scenario. Conducting a sensitivity analysis is a tool that helps to measure how the uncertainty in the input variables of a model affects the output or outcome of the model. It uses a graphical or numerical representation of the relationship between the input and output variables, showing how the output changes when the input changes. A sensitivity analysis can help to identify the most critical or influential variables, as well as to test the robustness or reliability of the model4. However, a sensitivity analysis does not help to compare different options or alternatives, as it focuses on a single model or option. Conducting an analytic hierarchy process is a tool that helps to evaluate and select the best option among different alternatives based on multiple criteria. It uses a mathematical method of pairwise comparison, where each alternative is compared to each other in terms of each criterion. The results of the comparisons are then aggregated into a matrix, which shows the relative importance or preference of each alternative. An analytic hierarchy process can help to rank the alternatives and choose the one that best satisfies the criteria5. However, an analytic hierarchy process does not help to incorporate costs and probabilities into the decision making process, as it relies on subjective judgments and preferences. References: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5.

A decision tree analysis is a quantitative risk analysis technique that helps evaluate and select the best option based on costs and probabilities. It visually represents different decision paths and their associated probabilities, allowing the project manager to compare and select the most appropriate option for the project.

The risk manager should include an escalation process in the risk management plan to address risks that may impact other projects. This ensures that any identified risks that could affect multiple projects are communicated and managed appropriately across the organization.

The risk manager should include an escalation process in the risk management plan to deal with risks that may affect other projects or the organization as a whole. An escalation process is a set of procedures that defines how and when risks should be communicated to higher levels of authority or responsibility for decision making or resolution. The escalation process should specify the criteria, roles, responsibilities, and communication channels for escalating risks. The risk manager should follow the escalation process when identifying risks that may have extensive impacts beyond the scope of the project. The other options are not appropriate actions for the risk manager to take. Contacting the risk managers of the other projects and informing them is not sufficient, as it does not ensure that the risks are properly addressed or resolved. Taking note of the extensive impact of these risks in the risk register is not enough, as it does not involve the necessary stakeholders or decision makers. Addressing the unique characteristics of these risks on a case-by-case basis is not consistent, as it does not follow a standard process or protocol. References: 2, 3, 4

The project manager should have updated the project schedule by adding risk owner implementation tasks. This would have ensured that the planned risk responses were implemented in a timely manner and tracked as part of the project schedule. This would also have allowed the project manager to monitor the progress of risk response implementation and take corrective action if necessary.

According to the PMI-RMP Exam Content Outline and Specifications1, one of the tasks under Domain 4: Risk Monitoring and Reporting is to “update project schedule, budget, and risk register with risk response outcomes”. This implies that the project manager should have added the risk owner implementation tasks to the project schedule, so that they can be tracked and monitored. By doing so, the project manager could have ensured that the planned risk responses were executed as intended, and that the opportunities were not missed. References: PMI-RMP Exam Content Outline and Specifications, page 10.